Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 12.997670 15.141617 17.473139 20.189838 23.260899 26.617308 30.555309
2025-10-26 9.236460 12.132337 15.604486 20.038837 25.512423 32.006060 40.247053
2025-11-02 6.972762 10.100001 14.154570 19.716560 27.056052 36.308601 48.737534
2025-11-09 5.440041 8.582774 12.941278 19.291293 28.144755 39.867744 56.342922
2025-11-16 4.322391 7.375496 11.875884 18.792763 28.910716 42.884658 63.288398
2025-11-23 3.415906 6.285882 10.768948 18.012304 29.085870 44.975020 68.982855
2025-11-30 3.018099 5.918363 10.672785 18.675651 31.354327 50.109496 79.223904
2025-12-07 2.688238 5.598423 10.589764 19.315411 33.596359 55.311291 89.845818
2025-12-14 2.244326 4.988392 9.928286 18.916169 34.134503 57.942399 96.755966
2025-12-21 1.864116 4.422492 9.254335 18.395696 34.389701 60.100382 103.012452
2025-12-28 1.723591 4.306982 9.373978 19.256142 36.988504 66.091438 115.538456
2026-01-04 1.567957 4.129896 9.349346 19.841303 39.142285 71.469303 127.353769
2026-01-11 1.358299 3.812695 9.045477 19.947062 40.594533 76.001790 138.446848
2026-01-18 1.171089 3.511517 8.739351 20.032172 42.054304 80.713820 150.252482
2026-01-25 0.984053 3.164808 8.279903 19.751064 42.799704 84.234546 160.261588
2026-02-01 0.818841 2.830248 7.788154 19.332282 43.225079 87.192629 169.447254
2026-02-08 0.676858 2.518882 7.293056 18.834073 43.429705 89.737796 178.021484
2026-02-15 0.544775 2.195299 6.707505 18.052349 42.974389 91.012955 184.376950
2026-02-22 0.499693 2.130616 6.759025 18.716995 45.538114 98.071309 201.511096
2026-03-01 0.458112 2.065988 6.799705 19.357972 48.097295 105.259462 219.226273
2026-03-08 0.383243 1.861231 6.426190 18.957976 48.383938 108.067080 228.952768
2026-03-15 0.316441 1.661249 6.026405 18.436516 48.346646 110.217001 237.527790
2026-03-22 0.298333 1.646952 6.165443 19.298593 51.472771 118.846873 258.847146